Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 9.188141 10.714364 12.382440 14.336509 16.558240 19.000994 21.885225
2026-01-25 6.421213 8.432090 10.861233 13.990523 17.891355 22.568327 28.572188
2026-02-01 4.804073 6.947958 9.754175 13.648931 18.859011 25.525715 34.628001
2026-02-08 3.665934 5.769105 8.719766 13.082456 19.272307 27.626946 39.616787
2026-02-15 2.893807 4.914659 7.930965 12.645732 19.684782 29.628586 44.511877
2026-02-22 2.503920 4.542969 7.752636 13.011584 21.204746 33.223040 51.840782
2026-03-01 2.199705 4.243308 7.621335 13.398136 22.749170 36.933074 59.582315
2026-03-08 1.811042 3.723420 7.047887 12.986416 22.977194 38.646677 64.431175
2026-03-15 1.517059 3.315147 6.593971 12.695435 23.334435 40.541682 69.643807
2026-03-22 1.402383 3.224476 6.681120 13.332616 25.272653 45.068398 79.291067
2026-03-29 1.275255 3.084744 6.654529 13.753249 26.861556 49.120615 88.421709
2026-04-05 1.125327 2.868936 6.450026 13.813742 27.805617 52.142788 96.026938
2026-04-12 0.977429 2.643065 6.220575 13.853300 28.816074 55.528808 104.801607
2026-04-19 0.814596 2.350812 5.815955 13.510222 29.107323 57.735628 111.824678
2026-04-26 0.679948 2.094353 5.443532 13.177592 29.374119 59.908658 118.941909
2026-05-03 0.554425 1.828421 5.001057 12.628207 29.138393 61.115797 124.381403
2026-05-10 0.458102 1.615435 4.642064 12.204884 29.099674 62.666817 130.531611
2026-05-17 0.415954 1.548180 4.627118 12.559451 30.723105 67.535511 143.222016
2026-05-24 0.379482 1.488857 4.621929 12.934126 32.421422 72.667561 156.736152
2026-05-31 0.316522 1.326372 4.315083 12.535055 32.367196 74.270372 163.488422
2026-06-07 0.267627 1.195912 4.070321 12.253041 32.540308 76.336799 171.272181
2026-06-14 0.253684 1.186799 4.170091 12.870615 34.855057 83.028380 188.751561
2026-06-21 0.234473 1.152513 4.189810 13.278365 36.708557 88.861486 204.813160